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Projections of demand for social care and disability benefits for younger adults in England: report of research conducted for the Commission on Funding of Care and Support
- Authors:
- SNELL Tom, et al
- Publisher:
- Personal Social Services Research Unit
- Publication year:
- 2011
- Pagination:
- 17p.
- Place of publication:
- Canterbury
Using an adapted version of a projections model for younger adults developed by the Personal Social Services Research Unit (PSSRU), this paper provides projections of demand and future public expenditure for social care and disability benefits for younger adults (aged 18 to 64) in England to 2030. Projections are broken down in the categories of: people with learning disabilities; people with physical or sensory impairments; other groups (such as people with mental health problems) combined. The paper describes the various data used in the modelling; presents a set of base case assumptions: presents the projections obtained using those assumptions: and investigates the sensitivity of the projections to changes in those assumptions. A final section sets out some conclusions.